SL GREEN REALTY CORP (SLG) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 headline: Revenue and EBITDA materially beat Street, while GAAP EPS was roughly in line/slightly below SPGI “Primary EPS” consensus; company-reported diluted EPS was -$0.30 vs -$0.386 SPGI “actual” used in consensus tracking . Revenue beat was driven by higher rental revenue, other income, and investment income, plus contributions from consolidated securitization vehicles . Revenue/EBITDA beats vs SPGI: $241.0m vs $157.7m; $124.8m vs $67.4m, respectively (SPGI)*.
- Operating momentum: 45 Manhattan office leases (602k sf) with minimal concessions drift; same‑store cash NOI +2.4% YoY ex‑termination; Manhattan same‑store occupancy 91.8% and on track to 93.2% YE25 .
- Balance sheet/credit platforms: DPE portfolio carrying value $537.6m (7.5% current yield; 8.7% ex non‑accrual) and special servicing active assignments $4.8b with $10.9b designated; management sees robust CMBS/balance sheet lending activity and expects upward bias to guidance if pipeline closes .
- Likely stock reaction catalysts: visible estimate revisions from revenue/EBITDA beats; execution on $1B dispositions, 2.0m sf leasing goal, and occupancy glide path to 93.2%; continued ramp of debt fund/special servicing; 500 Park yield rising to ~7.2% shortly after acquisition .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “The company’s earnings for the quarter exceeded the Street’s expectations and our own internal projections by a significant margin,” with NOI and leasing ahead, and strong profits from debt-related businesses .
- Revenue mix strength: Rental revenue, other income, and investment income all rose YoY; total revenue $239.8m vs $187.9m YoY (+27.7%) .
- Strategic momentum: 45 office leases (602k sf), +2.4% same-store cash NOI ex-LTI, Manhattan occupancy 91.8%, pipeline >1.1m sf; YE25 occupancy guide 93.2% . Management emphasized active CMBS/balance-sheet markets and expects upward bias to guidance if pipeline closes .
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What Went Wrong
- Mark-to-market on replacement leases -3.1% this quarter, reflecting mix/price points; occupancy ticked down vs Q4 (91.8% vs 92.4%) as buildouts and timing lag economic occupancy .
- GAAP EPS printed a loss (-$0.30); YoY compares include lapping large 2024 JV gain/debt extinguishment items that inflated prior-year FFO/share .
- Macro headwinds (tariffs/market volatility) create uncertainty; management has not seen a slowdown yet, but cautioned timing is unknown .
Financial Results
Quarterly comparisons vs prior year, prior quarter, and estimates:
Estimate comparison (SPGI basis):
- Revenue: Consensus $157.7m*, Actual $241.0m* (Company reported $239.8m) → Beat
- EBITDA: Consensus $67.4m*, Actual $124.8m* → Beat
- Primary EPS: Consensus -$0.379*, Actual -$0.386* (Company reported diluted EPS -$0.30) → Slight miss on SPGI “Primary EPS” basis
Segment/portfolio operating income (selected):
- Property NOI incl. SLG share of unconsolidated JVs: Q1 2024 $176.6m; Q4 2024 $209.2m; Q1 2025 $186.6m .
- Manhattan operating property NOI (consolidated): Q1 2024 $66.6m; Q4 2024 $74.2m; Q1 2025 $70.6m .
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The company’s earnings for the quarter exceeded the Street’s expectations and our own internal projections by a significant margin.” — Marc Holliday
- “I do expect that our debt-related businesses will account for increasing profits… we are already at the higher end of our guidance range, a range where we will reassess next quarter, with an upward bias if we are successful in closing all of the business now in front of us.” — Marc Holliday
- “We haven’t seen a slowdown yet… we had 62 tenants in the pipeline versus today… 64… we haven’t seen any pullback.” — Steven Durels on tariffs/macro
- “Looking at the CMBS data, 2025 YTD, we’ve seen $6.9 billion of New York City office CMBS completed… versus 0 in 2023 and $300 million in 2024.” — Harrison Sitomer
- “We feel pretty good about 2 million [sf of leasing in 2025]… and by year-end we could eclipse that 2 million feet.” — Marc Holliday
Q&A Highlights
- Estimates/Guidance: Management comfortable with downside given termed-out, hedged debt; upside “bias” tied to investment/leasing execution, typically reassessed mid-year .
- Dispositions plan: $1B target “on track,” citing prior $9B gross sales since COVID at 4.3% blended cap .
- Leasing & pipeline: No slowdown post-tariffs; 64 active tenants, with many expansions; submarket strength on Park and Sixth Ave likely to push face rents; concessions stable to tightening .
- 500 Park Avenue: Acquired at ~6.8% cap; immediate leasing brought asset to 100% occupancy; current yield ~7.2%; $20m+ upgrade to elevate rents further .
- Casino license timeline: Environmental review underway; license submission targeted June 27; local approvals by end of September; aim for year-end award .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Consensus $157.7m*, Actual $241.0m* (Company-reported $239.8m) → Beat .
- EBITDA: Consensus $67.4m*, Actual $124.8m* → Beat.
- Primary EPS: Consensus -$0.379*, Actual -$0.386* (Company-reported diluted EPS -$0.30) → Slight miss on SPGI “Primary EPS” basis .
- Estimate counts: EPS (3), Revenue (6).
Note: SPGI “actuals” can differ from company-reported figures due to methodology; we cite company-reported diluted EPS (-$0.30) and revenues ($239.8m) separately where relevant .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Operational momentum intact: Leasing velocity, pipeline quality, and occupancy trajectory (to 93.2% YE25) support stable-to-improving property cash flows despite a modest negative M‑T‑M this quarter .
- Upside optionality from credit platforms: DPE earnings and special servicing are scaling into a friendlier credit environment; management sees these as durable contributors .
- Capital markets tailwinds: Rapid reopening of NYC office CMBS and active balance-sheet lenders increase confidence in executing dispositions/refis/JV recaps .
- Estimate revisions likely: Material revenue/EBITDA beats vs consensus should prompt upward models; EPS optics are muddied by GAAP vs SPGI methodology and non-cash items .
- 2025 execution watch items: $1B dispositions, ≥2.0m sf leasing, OMA and Park/Sixth rent push with tightening concessions, and 500 Park ROI uplift .
- Structural supply reduction: Office-to-resi conversions and scarce new supply reinforce medium-term rent/occupancy recovery in SLG’s Midtown footprint .
- Potential catalysts next quarter: Guidance reassessment (“upward bias”) contingent on executing the current pipeline across equity, debt, and fee-oriented initiatives .
Appendix: Source Documents
- Q1 2025 8‑K/press release, financials, supplemental package .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (full) .
- Q4 2024 press release and call transcript .
- Q3 2024 press release and call transcript .
- Dividend press release (Apr 17, 2025) .
- SPGI consensus and actuals (Q1 2025): Revenue, EBITDA, Primary EPS, estimate counts (see asterisked items in Estimates Context). *Values retrieved from S&P Global.